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THE WEEK AHEAD 12.10.2020

Monday, October 12th

  •  Bond markets will be closed in the US and Canada for the US Columbus Day holiday and Canada’s Thanksgiving Day, respectively.
  • Brexit endgame: The UK is coming up against another deadline to secure a trade deal with the EU.  Limited progress has been made as sticking points on fisheries and state aid remain.
  • The UK is weighing tougher coronavirus restrictions after lockdown failures
  • ECB President Christine Lagarde leads off the virtual annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank Group. Through Oct. 18.
  • Bank of England policy maker Jonathan Haskel speaks on the University of Exeter Economics Society’s webinar.
  • BOE Governor Andrew Bailey appears at the BOE Citizens’ Panel open forum.
  • The Institute of International Finance holds its annual membership meeting. BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda and Riksbank Governor Stefan Ingves are among the speakers at this five-day event. Live-streamed, through Oct. 16.
  • Milken Institute 2020 Global Conference convenes virtually with a theme of “Meeting the Moment.” Speakers include Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla and Anthony Fauci, the top U.S. infectious-disease official. Though Oct. 21.
  • Switzerland publishes updated economic forecasts.

Economic Data

  • Mexico industrial production
  • Japan PPI, core machine orders
  • South Africa manufacturing production
  • Turkey current account balance, unemployment
  • India CPI, industrial production
  • Tuesday, October 13th
  • Earnings Season begins! JPMorgan and Citigroup kick things off in the morning.
  • IMF World Economic Outlook is published
  • Apple officially launches iPhone 12. A total of four iPhones will be launched.

Tuesday, October 13th

  •  Earnings Season begins! JPMorgan and Citigroup kick things off in the morning.
  • IMF World Economic Outlook is published
  • Apple officially launches iPhone 12. A total of four iPhones will be launched.

Economic Data

  • US September CPI M/M: 0.2% eyed v 0.4% prior
  • Mexico international reserves
  • New Zealand food prices
  • Japan money stock
  • Germany ZEW survey expectations
  • Turkey industrial production
  • UK unemployment rate, jobless claims
  • China trade

Wednesday, October 14th

  •  Hong Kong Chief Executive Carrie Lam delivers the annual policy address.
  • IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva and World Bank President David Malpass give press conferences from the annual IMF/World Bank Meetings
  • Bank of America and Goldman Sachs report earnings before the bell.
  • Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida speaks with IIF President Tim Adams at the IIF annual meeting.
  • Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan and Randal Quarles, vice chair for supervision at the Fed, will speak on financial supervision at an event hosted by Hoover Economic Policy Working Group. Kaplan will also hold a virtual town hall on recent economic developments.
  • ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane and Governing Council members Francois Villeroy de Galhau, Robert Holzmann and Pablo Hernandez de Cos speak during an online conference.
  • BOE Chief Economist Andy Haldane gives the Engaging Business Summit autumn lecture.

Economic Data

  • US Sept PPI Final Demand M/M: 0.1% eyed v 0.3% prior
  • Australia Westpac consumer confidence
  • Singapore monetary authority policy statement, GDP
  • Japan industrial production, capacity utilization
  • India wholesale prices
  • South Africa retail sales
  • Euro-area industrial production

Thursday, October 15th

  •  EU leaders meet for a two-day summit in Brussels. Topics to be covered include Brexit, climate change, Covid-19 and relations with Africa.
  • Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari talks to NYU Stern’s Center on the economy. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin speaks at the Economic Club of New York.
  • Bank of Canada’s Deputy Governor Timothy Lane speaks on a panel.
  • EIA crude oil inventory report

Economic Data

  • US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, Empire manufacturing: 12.0eyed v 17.0 prior
  • Australia unemployment, participation rate
  • Polish CPI
  • China PPI, CPI
  • Trade: Indonesia, India
  • Japan tertiary industry index
  • Italy industrial orders

Friday, October 16th

  • US retail sales for September could show the slowdown is here already

Economic Data

  • US: Baker Hughes rig count, September Advance Retail Sales M/M: 0.7% eyed v 0.6% prior, September Industrial Production 0.6%eyed v 0.4% prior, Oct Prelim Univ. of Michigan sentiment: 80.0eyed v 80.4 prior, TIC flows
  • Canada manufacturing sales
  • New Zealand performance of manufacturing index
  • Singapore non-oil domestic exports, electronic exports
  • Sovereign Rating Updates:
  • United Kingdom (Moody’s)
  • France (DBRS)

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